Well I guess buyers have gotten over the “payment shock" that has come with the new interest rates. I was out with clients last week looking at some homes in the Aurora and Newmarket area. We went into one open house and it was so packed that I had trouble finding my boots when it was time to leave. Now, hard to find footwear isn’t a leading economic indicator. However, consumer confidence is. Right now there is a ton of consumer confidence in the real estate market. Here’s proof. As they say a picture paints a thousand words. This freehold townhome came out and took offers last week:
There were 17 Offers.
16 buyers went home disappointed. Now this didn’t happen in the fall. From Sept 1st - Nov 30th there were 7 freehold townhomes that sold under $1,000,000.00 and none of those sales were for over asking. In fact this home, listed in the fall at the asking price of $899,000 wouldn’t have been out of line.
This is the semi-detached home where I lost my boots. They also took offers last week:
There were 8 Offers.
Again looking at fall numbers from Sept 1st-Nov 30th. 10 Semi-detached homes sold in that timeframe with the average price being $1,004,388.00. That’s a healthy increase in what 3 months?
This isn’t just an Aurora phenomenon. I saw a semi-detached in Mississauga that had 21 offers last night. An estate sale in Etobicoke had 19 offers and sold for $260,000 over asking.
The bottomline is the buyers are out there and they’re not afraid to spend. The problem is there clearly isn’t enough inventory to satisfy all their needs. So what’s going to happen if this trend continues? Supply + Demand. Prices are going to shoot up quickly. Beware The Bank of Canada is watching this. The rumour going around is they will continue to hold rates with a June or July decrease. It’s this rumour I believe is in part fueling this Buyer confidence. Or will the B of C raise rates to try and slow this market down. They’ve done it before. Check the graph they raised rates +0.25 In January 2023 and then paused them. No increases in March or April. Look what happened to the Average Price. It shot up. The B of C stepped in and raised rates in June +0.25 and again in July +0.25. Check the graph, prices came down. Stay tuned, let's see what happens on March 6th and April 10th.